2020 Predictions and Recommendations: Second Half

The first half of 2020 has been a roller coaster ride of the old Chinese curse "may you live in very interesting times" type thanks to COVID-19 and it's ripple effect. That's made me curious about 2020 predictions and recommendations for the second half of the year. 

What's going to happen for the remainder of this year? When will things really get better? How much longer are we going to have to deal with all this huge amount of change?

Read on to find out my intuitive second half 2020 predictions and recommendations. After all, hindsight is 2020. 🙂

Disclaimer: I'm not a medical professional, financial professional, etc. This post is legally for entertainment purposes only. Consult professionals before taking any actions.  

First Half of 2020 Review

Since we've all lived through the first half of 2020, we don't really need a reminder, but some of the statistics will help to set the stage for the second half of the year. 

  • The year began with China announcing COVID-19 outbreaks in early January.
  • Containment was unsuccessful, and by mid-year, every country in the world  experienced COVID-19 infections, deaths and the ripple effect of attempted containment on their economies and people.
  • According to the WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dashboard there have been over 10 million infections and 500,000 deaths as of this writing on June 17, 2020.
  • Containment efforts have had a severe negative effect on economies worldwide. Causing a huge amount of change at all levels from national to individual. 
Humans in general do not like times of accelerated change.

Yet, as we look into the future, no official can tell us with any degree of authority when this outbreak will end or what will happen as a result of it. When will things get back to normal? 

Second Half of 2020 Predictions and Recommendations - Keep Your Seat Belt On

If you don't already have your seat belt on for the 2020 wild ride, then it's time to put it on. The second half of 2020 will be every bit as turbulent as the first. Our roller coaster ride is going strong with no end in sight this year. 

I realize this is not an optimistic forecast, however, it's much better to be prepared and as a result, to be less affected by what is likely to happen.

Let's look at the areas that will cause continued change and unrest:

  • COVID-19 will continue to plague us throughout 2020.
    • There will be no vaccine available to the masses (that works) this year.
    • Because containment efforts have such a negative effect on economies, the virus will continue to exist and spread throughout our populations.
    • Rapid mutation of the virus will mean any immunity will be short term (less than a year, and closer to six months). 
  • Economic instability will worsen as COVID-19 hangs on
    • A huge number of businesses will close for good.
      • Retail businesses that were already under stress from online competition will continue to close at an increasingly alarming rate
      • Entertainment and food businesses that are usually recession proof will be the most hard hit. 
        • 75% of restaurants, and especially individually owned restaurants will close. 
    • Unemployment figures will continue to rise. 2020 figures will not be the peak of unemployment. 
    • Both the US and the world will continue to be slow to adapt to the requirements of life with COVID-19. This will continue to be apparent in 2020. 
    • Food shortages (at least in the US and first world countries where food shortages have been unknown except in times of war time and COVID-19) will be feared still, but will not materialize. 
      • Farmers, manufacturers and suppliers have already changed processes and these changes will bolster the food supply chain and improve overall supply. 
      • Prices will rise, but not substantially as a result of these changes. 
    • The stock market will continue to rally and fall, fall and rally, with an overall down tick in major indexes throughout 2020. However, it won't drop nearly as much as could be expected based on the economic indexes of unemployment and overall instability caused by COVID-19. 
  • US presidential instability will continue throughout 2020
    • Due to the additional stress caused by COVID-19, President Trump will continue to be unstable and erratic, causing a ripple effect of stress throughout the US and the world. 
    • Trump will more than likely lose the 2020 presidential election. His loss will primarily be due to an increase in minority and previously disaffected populations voting (democratic) and increased publicity for illegal dealings during his presidency. 
      • Trump will bluster and say horrendous things to the new incoming president, but there will be no coup attempt, etc. 
      • However, the exit of Trump will be viewed as a very negative event by 40% of the US population. 
      • Caveat - I'm not a Trump supporter (understatement). My insight into Trump's losing the election could well be biased as a result. However, I had to take a stab at the presidential election as it's a very important occurrence in 2020. 
    • The incoming president will have no impact in 2020 on the major factors causing instability and unrest. There just isn't time this year to make a difference between inauguration and close of the year. 
  • Any already weak personal relationships will unravel and end.
    • Due to the stress caused by the intense change this year, relationships that would have lasted for many normal years, will end in 2020.
    • This is a healing cleansing, and while difficult, is necessary to clear out and allow new relationships that are healthier. 
      • I speak from experience. My relationship with my partner, Beck, ended recently. We're still friends and our decision to separate as a couple is mutual. However, without the stress caused by COVID-19, I believe we would still be together. 

Ways to Laugh as This Roller Coaster Plays Out

I'm a very positive person overall. My only reason for giving any negative outlook is to then help at an individual level. Here's what I plan to do and other recommendations for individuals in affected areas for the remainder of this year into early 2021:

  • Getting and staying healthy
    • COVID-19 primarily affects those who have other health issues. 
      • In order to improve your health, you need to eat for health (primarily vegetables and fruit) and exercise. 
      • Sunlight and being outdoors (except in areas with bad air pollution) improves overall health. 
      • Herbs and supplements can also improve your health. See my post Should I Worry About the New Coronavirus? Take Positive Action for suggestions. 
  • Stock market investing
    • I have a portion of my retirement in the stock market, and I plan to leave it there.
      • Historically, the maximum number of years to come out of a serious economic downturn is 10 years. I don't see this downturn taking nearly that long to recover. More like two or three years.
      • Trading on highs and lows is risky and best left to experts. 
  • Side hustles
    • Anyone who is currently on unemployment either needs to find a different type of occupation or a side hustle. 
      • Business currently affected by COVID-19 - even when they open, won't be at full capacity for an extended time (past 2020). 
      • This is the time to plan and implement a different way to support yourself. Waiting until unemployment runs out is too late. 
  • Alternative entertainment
    • If your primary forms of entertainment are now blocked, you need to realize they will remain blocked throughout this year and into 2021. 
      • Like to go to the movie theater? 
        • Why not have movie night at home? Order a movie through your favorite online supplier or rent one. Pop some popcorn and invite over a friend or two. 
      • Like to eat out at restaurants, but your favorite restaurant is closed or you don't want to take a chance of catching the virus?
        • Invite a few friends over and order takeout from your next favorite place.
        • Set up a dinner exchange with several of your friends where each one of you cooks for the others on a schedule or each one brings a dish to share.
      • Whatever your mode of entertainment that's blocked, think of alternatives and try them. It beats waiting for normal life to return. 
  • Practice, practice practice
    • This is the perfect time to practice controlling your thoughts, focusing on the positive, surrounding yourself with light, etc. 
      • Check out Aware Power: Roadmap to Self Empowerment & Happiness for instructions and suggestions. 
      • Let go of those things that are falling away with the change. Holding on will only cause you more stress and grief. 
    • Take up a new hobby or finish something you were waiting to do (but never did).
    • Keep yourself busy and learn new things to improve your overall mood and give you a feeling of accomplishment. 
  • Learn to think outside the box
    • This is a great time to let your creative juices flow. 
    • Let yourself consider many different and varied alternatives as solutions.
    • Get varied and different forms of counsel before making decisions. 
    • Consider multiple different answers as solutions rather than just a single answer. 
      • For example, instead of working one job 40 hours a week, you may need to come up with a side hustle (that turns out to be a dream come true) and a part time job. 
  • Ask for help
    • It's easy to become overwhelmed in times of change and stress. You deserve help when you need it, but first, you must ask (and sometimes nicely demand) help.
    • Types of help you many require and to consider are
      • psychological / social due to isolation and stress
      • financial due to loss of income
      • medical due to infection and chronic illness
      • and more. If you feel overwhelmed and don't know who to contact, try 4help.org, a hotline search engine and directory.

What About 2021?

My second half 2020 predictions and recommendations just aren't what most people want to hear. I understand. 

This too shall pass.

2021 will bring us out of the worst of COVID-19 and it's effects on our lives and economies.

We'll learn new ways to cope and a new normal.  These new habits will make us better prepared for the next pandemic. (I realize that may be an alarming statement, but it's the truth as I see it.)

Please Share Your Thoughts

Please share your thoughts in the comments. Do you have questions about my second half 2020 predictions and recommendations? Are there other areas you're particularly interested in?

Disclaimer: I'm not a medical professional, financial professional, etc. This post is legally for entertainment purposes only. Consult professionals before taking any actions.  

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